After a number of years of irrational and apocalyptic pronouncements that the end of the world is nigh it seems that we are now waking up to the fact that global warming may not exist and if it does is not caused by human activity.
I am not an expert in such things but …………. I do believe that the earth warms up and cools down on a fairly regular basis. I understand a hundred years ago people were skating on the Thames, thousands of years ago animals more suited to tropical climates roamed this country and so on.
This all seems reasonable given that the Sun performs in an erratic manner, the axis of the earths rotation has the occasional wobble and at times the earth has volcanic eruptions and we have also been subject to meteorite strikes.
What has never been clear to me is why, until very recently, we have decided that our ability to affect things is more significant than nature itself. It feels a bit arrogant.
We have had a number of very able lobbyist including the greens, Lib Dems and “experts” who have decided that this issue is the most important and is threatening life itself. Well meaning I am sure but very damaging to our economy and now not even backed up with facts. Anything that supports this apocalyptic view is trumpeted and those who are not convinced are berated for being non believers. This is a bullying tactic that frankly I object to.
Recent data released, very quietly, shows that the world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago. It seems that from 1997 until August 2012 there has been no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures. This plateau phase has lasted for the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, from 1980 to 1996. Before that it seems that temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years. This data is compiled from more than 3000 measuring points on land and at sea.
Interesting, experts don’t agree. Professor Phil Jones, director of the climatic research unit at the UEA dismissed the platueau saying that the 16 years is too short a period to draw conclusions. That seems a little odd as it was a similar 16 year period that started this emotional rant that we are all doomed.
In 2009, as the plateau became obvious, he claimed in an email exposed by Climategate that, “bottom line, the no upward trend has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried” That now seems to have changed to 15 years plus a further 5 years. Expect to see him wandering the streets of Norwich with a placard declaring the “The end is nigh” shortly.
The rise in temperature since 1880 is 0.75 of a degree Celsius. Hardly the 5 degrees that has been predicted.
For balance Professor Judith Curry who is the head of the climate science department at America’s prestigious Georgia Tech university made it clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were deeply flawed.
So, what does all this mean. Well, the overbearing theories espoused by the bourgeoise left wing academics are costing us all dearly. Green subsidies being provided to the renewable industry amount to about £100 for an average household this year.
Let us be clear. Global warming and cooling, don’t forget the ice ages, has been going on forever. Some of this change might have been caused by the burning of fossil fuels but evidence is now starting to show that it might be happening much slower that the catastrophists have suggested and might have nothing to do with humans after all.
What is sad is that anyone who questions the alarmists doomsday scenario is automatically labelled a denier and someone who threatens the future of humanity. Not a healthy debating position.